Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.001738 0.001855 0.001976 0.002110 0.002256 0.002409 0.002583
2025-01-05 0.001553 0.001715 0.001890 0.002094 0.002325 0.002579 0.002881
2025-01-12 0.001409 0.001596 0.001804 0.002054 0.002347 0.002682 0.003097
2025-01-19 0.001310 0.001515 0.001748 0.002037 0.002385 0.002795 0.003318
2025-01-26 0.001195 0.001405 0.001649 0.001957 0.002338 0.002797 0.003399
2025-02-02 0.001165 0.001392 0.001662 0.002009 0.002449 0.002994 0.003728
2025-02-09 0.001131 0.001371 0.001662 0.002044 0.002537 0.003163 0.004028
2025-02-16 0.001125 0.001384 0.001702 0.002129 0.002693 0.003424 0.004463
2025-02-23 0.001083 0.001348 0.001678 0.002129 0.002735 0.003537 0.004701
2025-03-02 0.001018 0.001279 0.001610 0.002066 0.002688 0.003526 0.004765
2025-03-09 0.000968 0.001227 0.001560 0.002024 0.002668 0.003548 0.004874
2025-03-16 0.000937 0.001200 0.001541 0.002023 0.002702 0.003645 0.005096
2025-03-23 0.000895 0.001158 0.001504 0.002002 0.002715 0.003725 0.005314
2025-03-30 0.000858 0.001122 0.001474 0.001987 0.002736 0.003819 0.005561
2025-04-06 0.000815 0.001076 0.001429 0.001950 0.002722 0.003859 0.005726
2025-04-13 0.000783 0.001044 0.001400 0.001934 0.002738 0.003942 0.005965
2025-04-20 0.000734 0.000986 0.001333 0.001859 0.002660 0.003878 0.005959
2025-04-27 0.000728 0.000987 0.001350 0.001908 0.002774 0.004117 0.006469
2025-05-04 0.000716 0.000981 0.001356 0.001940 0.002862 0.004320 0.006933
2025-05-11 0.000719 0.000996 0.001392 0.002021 0.003030 0.004662 0.007666
2025-05-18 0.000700 0.000977 0.001377 0.002020 0.003068 0.004790 0.008026
2025-05-25 0.000666 0.000935 0.001327 0.001961 0.003006 0.004745 0.008065
2025-06-01 0.000639 0.000902 0.001289 0.001922 0.002975 0.004752 0.008199